eimtse

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.96
Potential profit: $181.96
User PnL: -$4.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $5.94
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $114.06
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: -$4.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $28.8
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $91.2
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: $17.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C or higher on July 8?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $119.04
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$9.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $12.6
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $107.4
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $1.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $47.4
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $72.6
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $36.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$6.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on April 26?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $105
User PnL: -$5.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 26?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $105
User PnL: -$5.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on April 26?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $105
User PnL: -$5.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on April 26?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $105
User PnL: -$5.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on April 26?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $105
User PnL: -$5.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or higher on April 26?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $105
User PnL: -$5.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on April 26?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $105
User PnL: -$5.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on April 25?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102
Potential profit: $102
User PnL: -$5.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on April 25?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102
Potential profit: $102
User PnL: -$5.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on April 25?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102
Potential profit: $102
User PnL: -$5.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on April 25?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102
Potential profit: $102
User PnL: -$5.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on April 25?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102
Potential profit: $102
User PnL: -$5.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on April 25?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102
Potential profit: $102
User PnL: -$5.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on April 25?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102
Potential profit: $102
User PnL: -$5.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on May 6?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$9.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 6?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$9.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on May 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.81

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on April 25?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C or higher on April 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or below on July 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C or below on May 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.91

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or below on July 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.91

Yes position

Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.43

Yes position

Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.62

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C or higher on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 43°C or higher on July 7?