Polymarket Trader

karnegie

0x1e95672cb5c60e052f0f347a48562dd1f05bedf7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $150.41
Realized PnL: $533.97
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.8
Potential profit: $300.8
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.79
Potential profit: $300.79
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.54
Potential profit: $300.54
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.52
Potential profit: $300.52
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.43
Potential profit: $300.43
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.27
Potential profit: $300.27
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.01
Potential profit: $300.01
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150.97
Potential profit: $150.97
User PnL: -$3.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150.91
Potential profit: $150.91
User PnL: -$3.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150.91
Potential profit: $150.91
User PnL: -$3.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150.91
Potential profit: $150.91
User PnL: -$3.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150.88
Potential profit: $150.88
User PnL: -$3.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150.82
Potential profit: $150.82
User PnL: -$3.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150.81
Potential profit: $150.81
User PnL: -$3.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150.79
Potential profit: $150.79
User PnL: -$3.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150.78
Potential profit: $150.78
User PnL: -$3.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150.78
Potential profit: $150.78
User PnL: -$3.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150.74
Potential profit: $150.74
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150.59
Potential profit: $150.59
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150.56
Potential profit: $150.56
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150.56
Potential profit: $150.56
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150.45
Potential profit: $150.45
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $150.41
Potential payout: $150.41
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $147.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150.38
Potential profit: $150.38
User PnL: -$3.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $297.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.16

No position

Will Jimmy Kimmel apologize by Friday?

Ends Sep 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.05

Yes position

Will Powell say "Median" during September press conference?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

No position

Will FC Kairat Almaty win on 2025-09-18?

Ends Sep 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.56

No position

Will BetBoom Team win The International 2025 Tournament?

Ends Sep 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be above $210 on September 23?

Ends Sep 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.36

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on September 23?

Ends Sep 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.24

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on September 28?

Ends Sep 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on September 24?

Ends Sep 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,600 and $4,700 on September 12?

Ends Sep 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,300 and $4,400 on September 16?

Ends Sep 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

Yes position

Will "Jingle Bell Heist" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (December 2 2025)

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.37

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 44°F or higher on December 6?

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 37-38°F on December 3?

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on October 4?

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.98

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be between 52-53°F on December 4?

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.97

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $84,000 on December 17?

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.97

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on September 15?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.97

No position

Will Pathward Financial (CASH) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

No position

Will Russia capture Rodynske by September 15?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.91

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on September 24?

Ends Sep 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.86

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 27?

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.86

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 44°F or higher on December 23?

No 99.2% 25.2 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on December 23?

No 99.9% 20.02 shares
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 16-22?

No 99.9% 45.04 shares
Will "Wake Up Dead Man" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (December 23, 2025)

Yes 98.7% 30.39 shares
Will "Man Vs Baby" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)

No 99.9% 30 shares
Will "The Spongebob Movie: Search for SquarePants" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?

No 99.9% 35.03 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 15-21?

No 99.9% 25.02 shares
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

No 99.9% 35.03 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 21?

Yes 98.9% 20.22 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 21?

No 99.5% 45.22 shares
Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 15-21 be greater than 18,500,000?

No 99.9% 50.05 shares
Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 15-21 be less than 17,500,000?

No 98.6% 55.78 shares