Polymarket Trader

tvopojok

0x1e9965213f8d4b1be3a1a092094bc9c6bc2a18d0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $927.23
Realized PnL: $4.2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$166.61

No position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $927.23
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $108.78
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $178.58

Yes position

Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $999.99
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.75
Potential profit: $999.75
User PnL: -$34.99

No position

Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $942.82
Potential profit: $942.82
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$102.6

Yes position

Ethereum all time high by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $545.95
Potential profit: $545.95
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$13.1

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $416.67
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$26

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$30

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263
Potential profit: $263
User PnL: -$99.94

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $213.01
Potential profit: $213.01
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?

Ends Aug 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.67
Potential profit: $116.67
User PnL: -$7

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$22

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Biden drops out of presidential race?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $622

Yes position

Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $613.06

Yes position

Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $534.78

No position

US recession in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $528.6

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $405.22

Yes position

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $261.56

No position

Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.99

No position

Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.05

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% or less in March?

Ends Apr 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.46

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.2

Yes position

Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.5

No position

Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72

Yes position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.91

Yes position

2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.5

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $39

Yes position

Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $35

No position

Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34.25

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33

Yes position

Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.77

No position

Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.99

Yes position

Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.31

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 0.3% 1,000 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Yes 0.4% 433.33 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Yes 35% 3,020.88 shares
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Yes 5.9% 51.03 shares
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Yes 0.9% 369.18 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?

No 98.8% 720.65 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.4% 250 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 27?

Up 99.7% 512.75 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 27?

Up 97.7% 97.08 shares
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Yes 9% 51.42 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?

Yes 48% 416.67 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?

Yes 6% 116.67 shares