Polymarket Trader

ebisu

0x1e9e4cb0d20c6da87d2d68ec9157104f803eb513

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.66K
Realized PnL: $2.76K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.87K
Potential profit: $2.87K
User PnL: -$2.71K

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $111.7
Potential payout: $2.13K
Potential profit: $2.02K
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: $11.7

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Current value: $1.79K
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $110.93
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $287.28

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $1.35K
User PnL: -$1.21K

No position

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $813.84
Potential payout: $849.96
Potential profit: $36.12
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $48.87

No position

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $798.73
Potential payout: $822.58
Potential profit: $23.85
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $13.69

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 14.2%
Current value: $115.77
Potential payout: $813.01
Potential profit: $697.24
Multiplier: 7.02x
User PnL: -$26.5

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 11.6%
Current value: $31.53
Potential payout: $271.84
Potential profit: $240.31
Multiplier: 8.62x
User PnL: $3.53

FUT Esports position

Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$195

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$50

Missed position

World Cup: First Penalty Made or Missed?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.35
Potential profit: $12.35
User PnL: -$2.59

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $398.74

Makhachev position

UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $350.65

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.55

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.85

No position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $143.35

Yes position

Will Usyk beat Fury?

Ends Dec 21, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.7

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.66

Yes position

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.56

Gukesh position

World Chess Championship 2024 Winner

Ends Dec 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.85

No position

Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.49

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffs

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.82

Vitality position

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.12

Yes position

Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.51

Kristen Foxen position

Nik Airball vs. Kristen Foxen: Higher winnings at Hustler Casino on Friday?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.9

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winner

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.63

Yes position

Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.21

PARIVISION position

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.26

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.97

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.43

MOUZ position

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.13

No position

Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.95

FaZe position

Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.13

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.08

No position

Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.91

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Spirit 58% 161.01 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Spirit 62% 161.29 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Spirit 62.2% 160.75 shares
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 55% 3,500 shares
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Natus Vincere 65% 76.92 shares
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

BetBoom Team 46% 65.22 shares
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Natus Vincere 58% 86.21 shares
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

TheMongolz 67% 74.63 shares
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

G2 61% 57.38 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Spirit 69% 72.46 shares
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

FURIA 58.2% 320 shares
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

FURIA 58.1% 300 shares