No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $10.76K
- Potential payout
- $14.06K
- Potential profit
- $3.3K
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $1.62K
Polymarket Trader
ps5
0x1ea77a5e8191db9f2c0a18f2692feccd0c47bcd9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $20K
- Realized PnL
- $61.97K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $6.77K
- Potential payout
- $11.19K
- Potential profit
- $4.42K
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $1.55K
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.1%
- Current value
- $567
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $6.43K
- Multiplier
- 12.35x
- User PnL
- -$413
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$994.6
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $1.72K
- Potential payout
- $2.15K
- Potential profit
- $430.2
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $55.6
Yes position
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?
Ends Nov 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $189.22
- Potential payout
- $238.02
- Potential profit
- $48.79
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $32.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Solana above $130 on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.25K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.53K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.94K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.01K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.98K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5K
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.47K
Yes position
Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17K
Yes position
Ethereum above $1,900 on March 21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12K
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12K
Pacers position
Pacers vs. Knicks
Ends May 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $95k in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.79K
No position
Will Solana dip to $100 by March?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74K
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 November 24-30?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 November 24-30?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84000 and $86000 on Mar 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27K
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 December 8-14?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 17?Down 99.3% 213 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 17?Down 99% 149.16 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in June?No 79.8% 1,075 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in June?No 75% 88 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in June?No 75% 109 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in June?No 75% 879 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 14% 25 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 47% 134.22 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 47% 205 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 45% 1,004.99 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 44% 15 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 49% 200 shares