Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$20
Polymarket Trader
Orochinagi
0x1ea9c5bd559d278661fc6356a32a708426061978
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.22
- Realized PnL
- $22.34
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.86
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.95
Yes position
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $13.18
- Potential payout
- $13.24
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $4.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.03
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.3
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.64
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.5
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.13
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$85
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?Yes 68% 13.24 shares
- Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?Yes 11% 90.91 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes 0.1% 20,000 shares
- Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes 1.6% 4,285.71 shares
- Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes 2.6% 4,006.59 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes 9.7% 365.96 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes 7% 680.99 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes 7.9% 252.49 shares
- Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes 1.4% 1,335.52 shares
- Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes 2% 2,000 shares
- Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes 0.3% 14,333.33 shares
- Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes 2% 1,255 shares