Yes position
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $5.33
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $28
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- $0.33
Polymarket Trader
Hirsl
0x1eac2255fb140ae6190952f66466d8f5244db942
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.95
- Realized PnL
- -$2.6
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $2.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.9
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $4.57
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $2.1
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $3.97
- Potential payout
- $5.19
- Potential profit
- $1.22
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $1.98
- Potential payout
- $4.35
- Potential profit
- $2.37
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- -$2.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?Yes 46% 4.35 shares
- Will England win on 2026-07-01?Yes 77% 5.19 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?No 67% 25.97 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?No 77% 25.97 shares
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes 15% 33.33 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes 75% 6.67 shares
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?Yes 10% 20 shares