No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$3
Polymarket Trader
geralisimus
0x1eb2d7fc9ebd3e8436611bfa725b3afbac33bca1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- -$11.47
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.24
- Potential profit
- $5.24
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.98
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will Ja’Marr Chase be the top Fantasy Flex Player?
Ends Jan 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
Ethereum above $3,400 on January 24?
Ends Jan 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.28
Yes position
Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Dec 13-20?
Ends Dec 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No 0.5% 600 shares
- Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?Yes 53% 4.08 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes 72% 1.39 shares
- Ethereum above $3,400 on January 24?Yes 35% 2.86 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes 65% 3.85 shares
- Will Ja’Marr Chase be the top Fantasy Flex Player?Yes 99.5% 2.01 shares
- Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?Yes 49% 4.08 shares
- Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes 96.4% 5.19 shares
- Will Biden finish his term?Yes 94% 13.12 shares
- Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?Yes 93.7% 5 shares
- TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No 66% 19.67 shares
- Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Dec 13-20?Yes 29% 34.48 shares