No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $387.67
- Potential profit
- $387.67
- User PnL
- -$321.77
Polymarket Trader
e54
0x1ebff4678f8944c6d9b382c5019a9a9d48ce4808
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $1.26K
- Win rate
- 77.8%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $515.13
No position
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $460.34
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.53
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $178
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.35
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
No position
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.85
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.3
USA position
Olympic Men’s Basketball Final: USA vs. France
Ends Aug 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
USA position
Olympic Basketball: USA vs. Serbia
Ends Aug 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.73
Yes position
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$347.58
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No 99.5% 1,000 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No 85% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No 80% 890 shares
- Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?Yes 1.2% 8,698.33 shares
- Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?Yes 3.4% 585.57 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No 29% 81.52 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No 22% 500 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 62% 1,568.82 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No 83% 387.67 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?No 80% 321.76 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No 96% 257.41 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?No 94.8% 247.11 shares