Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $555.56
- User PnL
- -$50
Polymarket Trader
Trevorngan
0x1ec322feacbe0406e09b1ecc919798ae80ef0888
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $885.04
- Realized PnL
- -$24.98
- Win rate
- 45.8%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $277.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $22.5
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $7.5
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.6%
- Current value
- $188.47
- Potential payout
- $220.31
- Potential profit
- $31.83
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$11.53
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $81.49
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $18.51
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $10.49
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $61.74
- Potential payout
- $97.22
- Potential profit
- $35.49
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$8.26
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $88.43
- Potential payout
- $94.58
- Potential profit
- $6.15
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $4.43
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.1%
- Current value
- $38.24
- Potential payout
- $86.71
- Potential profit
- $48.47
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- $8.24
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85.71
- Potential profit
- $85.71
- User PnL
- -$60
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $51.9
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $8.1
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $54.9
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $5.1
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $24.9
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $5.1
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $17.47
- Potential payout
- $26.67
- Potential profit
- $9.2
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$2.53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.2
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.99
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.96
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.14
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.27
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.22
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.77
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.6
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.6
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.8
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.32
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25.5
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$26.27
No position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$37.2
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 34.6% 86.71 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No 90% 88.87 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 72% 97.22 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No 91.3% 131.43 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?No 70% 85.71 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes 70% 57.14 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?No 51% 80 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 75% 26.67 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 1.5% 248.32 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Yes 80% 50 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Yes 90.7% 110.21 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes 30% 80 shares