Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $208.82
- Potential payout
- $536.12
- Potential profit
- $327.3
- Multiplier
- 2.57x
- User PnL
- $6.48
Polymarket Trader
0x1eca...ab97
0x1ecab39eab33283ac07d1b31c7d5748cb44fab97
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $1.84K
- Realized PnL
- -$3.91
- Win rate
- 53.8%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $317.27
- Potential payout
- $499.64
- Potential profit
- $182.37
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$61.8
No position
Iran leadership change by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $400.1
- Potential payout
- $417.21
- Potential profit
- $17.11
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$8.88
No position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $183.42
- Potential payout
- $246.2
- Potential profit
- $62.78
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$23.39
No position
Iran leadership change by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $213.41
- Potential payout
- $245.3
- Potential profit
- $31.89
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$2.7
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $90.05
- Potential payout
- $159.42
- Potential profit
- $69.36
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $16.7
Y
Yes position
Over $20M committed to the Credible public sale?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $153.77
- Potential payout
- $153.85
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $68.88
- Potential payout
- $70.8
- Potential profit
- $1.91
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $11.47
N
No position
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $51.7
- Potential payout
- $61.91
- Potential profit
- $10.22
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $7.03
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $54.15
- Potential payout
- $57.92
- Potential profit
- $3.76
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $5.32
No position
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $56.69
- Potential payout
- $57.3
- Potential profit
- $0.6
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.51
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $39.12
- Potential payout
- $39.14
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $2.33
Yes position
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $2.51
- Potential payout
- $4.56
- Potential profit
- $2.05
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.47
Yes position
World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29
No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Over $50M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Over $80M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.49
Yes position
Over $35M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.04
No position
Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.28
No position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.07
Yes position
Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.98
No position
Will $ANSEM reach $0.4 before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Over $20M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes 99.3% 147.95 shares
- Over $20M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes 99.4% 5.91 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 63% 82.19 shares
- Iran leadership change by September 30?No 88.1% 164.55 shares
- Iran leadership change by September 30?No 88% 80.75 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 76% 83.22 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 79% 334.23 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 38.9% 419.13 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 32.9% 56.08 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 33% 6.18 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 33% 20.39 shares
- Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 39% 16.08 shares