Polymarket Trader

Hosei

0x1ecad2f212a52f111be4106340eea448634a3a06

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.4K
Realized PnL: $1.07K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $482.89
Potential payout: $489.99
Potential profit: $7.1
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $11.65

Yes position

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

Ends Sep 6, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $309.27
Potential payout: $317.2
Potential profit: $7.93
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $36.98

Yes position

Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

Ends Sep 6, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $237.07
Potential payout: $261.96
Potential profit: $24.89
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $7.26

No position

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $158.8
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $1.2
User PnL: $3.4

No position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $70
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $6.4

No position

Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

Ends Sep 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $49.93
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0.08
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

Ends Sep 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $39.94
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $2.3

No position

Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92.8%
Current value: $27.83
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $2.17
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $2.08

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $19.53
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.47
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.96

Yes position

Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.44
Potential profit: $6.44
User PnL: -$1.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $171.77

No position

Will Max Verstappen finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.51

Yes position

Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.57

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.54

No position

Will Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.46

Yes position

Will Spain record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.33

No position

Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $46.02

Yes position

Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.34

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.27

No position

Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.13

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.92

Yes position

Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.14

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?

Ends Sep 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.9

No position

Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $23.3

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix pole?

Ends Sep 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.74

No position

Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

No position

Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.8

No position

Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.8

No position

Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $17.5

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.7

Yes position

Will Loic Meillard (SUI) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Men's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.69

No position

Will Carlos Sainz finish second at the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?

Ends Sep 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.5

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-11-18?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.96

Yes position

Will Henrik Kristoffersen (NOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Men's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

No 92% 19 shares
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

No 80% 30 shares
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

No 84.3% 94.61 shares
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

No 84.9% 11.99 shares
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

No 85% 15 shares
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

No 86% 40 shares
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

No 90% 111.3 shares
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

No 95.6% 23.12 shares
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

No 92% 119.49 shares
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Yes 89.1% 90 shares
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Yes 91% 614.71 shares
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Yes 36.6% 10 shares