Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $3.51
- Potential payout
- $96.15
- Potential profit
- $92.64
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$1.49
Polymarket Trader
sheepg
0x1ecce0f5a442d55da2934ccbcc556f0390fd0b6d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $47.3
- Realized PnL
- $757.16
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $10.48
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $39.53
- Multiplier
- 4.77x
- User PnL
- $6.02
Yes position
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $15.71
- Potential payout
- $47.62
- Potential profit
- $31.9
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- -$4.29
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.6%
- Current value
- $2.11
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.89
- Multiplier
- 9.48x
- User PnL
- -$1.33
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.99
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.59
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $11.76
- Potential profit
- $11.76
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $9.94
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $3.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.7
- Potential profit
- $8.69
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.2%
- Current value
- $4.51
- Potential payout
- $5.01
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $2.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.75
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.37
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $70.09
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.2
Yes position
Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.72
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.4
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33.9
Musetti position
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Andrey Rublev
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.12
Yes position
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.5
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.08
Yes position
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.9
No position
Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.3
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.84
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.08
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.2
Silver position
Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.04
Up position
Solana Up or Down - January 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.99
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.42
No position
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.27
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.65
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.69
No position
Machado wears a dress or skirt during next Trump meeting?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.65
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $11.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 28?Yes 9.7% 9.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 28?No 4.3% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on June 28?No 96% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 28?Yes 99% 7.84 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 28?Yes 85% 5.26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 28?No 7% 9.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 28?Yes 90.5% 8.89 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 28?No 8% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 28?Yes 59.3% 8.89 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 28?Yes 59.3% 17.77 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 28?Yes 25.3% 35.54 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 28?Yes 33.9% 10 shares