Polymarket Trader

jklfjalksjfdklsadjflkasj

0x1ed115ce39f502697674390e40a2457613666d66

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $729.43
Realized PnL: $788.72
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $3.56
Potential payout: $474
Potential profit: $470.45
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$66.99

Yes position

Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $108.63
Potential payout: $395
Potential profit: $286.38
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$110.4

Dominika Salkova position

Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $284
Potential profit: $284
User PnL: -$19.88

No position

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $116.55
Potential payout: $210
Potential profit: $93.45
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $16.73

No position

Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $102.18
Potential payout: $156
Potential profit: $53.82
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $24.18

Leyre Romero Gormaz position

Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $152
Potential profit: $152
User PnL: -$19.76

Sho Shimabukuro position

Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111
Potential profit: $111
User PnL: -$49.12

No position

Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 71.1%
Current value: $78.16
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $31.85
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $5.31

No position

Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $78.23
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $26.78
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $40.13

No position

Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $103.95
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $1.05
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $29.4

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $17.71
Potential payout: $94.48
Potential profit: $76.76
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: -$12.05

Cincinnati Reds position

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72
Potential profit: $72
User PnL: -$39.14

Magdalena Frech position

Grass Court Championships: Magdalena Frech vs Eva Lys

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.38
Potential profit: $66.38
User PnL: -$37.6

Yes position

Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $52.5
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$22.5

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56
Potential profit: $56
User PnL: -$10.08

No position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.31
Potential profit: $55.31
User PnL: -$9.9

Yes position

Will Tempo launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $52.67
Potential profit: $51.67
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: -$9.53

Over position

Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.36
Potential profit: $52.36
User PnL: -$9.36

Yes position

Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $14.56
Potential payout: $52
Potential profit: $37.44
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: $4.16

Yes position

Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $49.4
Potential payout: $50.3
Potential profit: $0.91
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Elaine Luria be the Democratic nominee for VA-02?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $48.02
Potential payout: $50.15
Potential profit: $2.13
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$1.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$4.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$4.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$4.55

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.11

Yes position

No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.05

No position

Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.94

No position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

No position

Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

No position

EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 84°F or higher on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 19?

Yes 4% 50 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 19?

Yes 1% 50 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 19?

Yes 23.4% 42 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 19?

Yes 47% 8 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 19?

Yes 4% 50 shares
Will Richard Gordon Thomson win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?

Yes 1% 50 shares
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?

Yes 2.1% 50 shares
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Yes 52% 19 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Down 22% 30 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Up 64% 14.66 shares
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Yes 32% 31 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Up 66% 15 shares