Polymarket Trader

0x1eD4092e32b73F30657e9aaE0Bc264F66e775d6e-1772865673657

0x1ed4092e32b73f30657e9aae0bc264f66e775d6e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $38.87
Realized PnL: $49.97
Win rate: 55.6%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $2.48
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $12.53
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$5.63

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $5.45
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $4.55
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $2.28
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.73
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 11.5

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.5

Over position

Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 223.5

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.6

No position

Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $4.18
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.83
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $1.83

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.65

Yes position

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.05

Yes position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.7

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.03
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.7

No position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.4

No position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $2.27
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.73
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $2.52
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.48
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $2.72
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.27
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Toronto FC win on 2026-03-14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.99
Potential profit: $4.99
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will CF Montréal win on 2026-03-14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.99
Potential profit: $4.99
User PnL: -$1.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 5.5

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.33

Yes position

Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-03-15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3

Yes position

Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-03-14?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.65

Yes position

Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

No position

Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.01

No position

Will Mark Baisley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Colorado?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-04-04?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.15

Yes position

Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-04-04?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?

Yes 99.5% 5 shares
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-15?

Yes 41% 5 shares
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

No 75% 10 shares
Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 5.5

Yes 99.9% 61.29 shares
Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 5.5

Yes 29% 5 shares
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?

Yes 46% 5 shares
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 54.9% 5 shares
Will Mark Baisley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Colorado?

No 54% 5 shares
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

No 54.9% 5 shares
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Yes 50.1% 5 shares
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

No 54.9% 5 shares
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Yes 52% 5 shares