Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by July 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $106
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $94
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- $10
Polymarket Trader
xfm-10-2
0x1ed6e0b4fe686dc90b9aea42d95c7a084617aa98
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $106
- Realized PnL
- $173.2
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.7
Yes position
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $43.5
No position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $42.22
No position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34
No position
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.88
No position
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$17.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by July 31, 2026?Yes 48% 200 shares
- Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?No 90.5% 5.99 shares
- Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?No 91.5% 274.01 shares
- Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?No 76.4% 274.01 shares
- OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?Yes 77% 290 shares
- Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?No 94.2% 190 shares
- Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?No 89% 190 shares
- Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?No 88% 30 shares
- Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?No 89% 150 shares
- Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?No 59% 180 shares
- Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?No 58% 20 shares
- Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?No 59% 160 shares