No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $288.75
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $11.25
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $13.35
Polymarket Trader
lemonmina
0x1ee732295cc76fe71493cdcda743ec39ffb74ea8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.72K
- Realized PnL
- $353.43
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $215.51
- Potential payout
- $230
- Potential profit
- $14.49
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $7.89
Yes position
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $170.99
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $29
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $23.1
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $192.58
- Potential payout
- $197.01
- Potential profit
- $4.43
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $5.97
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $139.5
- Potential payout
- $180
- Potential profit
- $40.5
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$24.8
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $130
- User PnL
- -$2.86
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $92.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $7.5
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $7
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $94.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $5.5
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $3.5
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $98.55
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $1.45
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $3.55
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $90
- User PnL
- -$41.8
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $89.99
- Potential profit
- $89.99
- User PnL
- -$1.59
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.9%
- Current value
- $46.28
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $33.72
- Multiplier
- 1.73x
- User PnL
- $6.53
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $53.7
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $6.3
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $2.2
Yes position
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.23
- Potential profit
- $55.23
- User PnL
- -$15.03
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $48.13
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $1.88
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.13
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $43.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$1.35
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $48.27
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $1.72
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.77
Yes position
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$23
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $32.6
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $7.4
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $39.54
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $0.46
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $39.02
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $0.98
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $28.05
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $1.95
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.75
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $27.75
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $2.25
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $23.13
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $1.88
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $2.48
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.5
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.2
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.01
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.61
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17
No position
Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.77
Nuggets position
Nuggets vs. Spurs
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.3
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.35
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.33
Yes position
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.8
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.61
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.51
Lakers position
Suns vs. Lakers
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.49
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.35
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.34
Pistons position
Pistons vs. Hornets
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.1
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
No position
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.55
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Mavericks
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.3
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?No 98.7% 20 shares
- Paraguay vs. France: Team to AdvanceFrance 93% 10 shares
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?No 93% 10 shares
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5) AND Spread: Colombia (-1.5) AND Spread: Egypt (-1.5)4.1% 47.32 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No 94% 30 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 88% 10 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-07-01? AND Will England win on 2026-07-01? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?26.7% 18.34 shares
- Will England win on 2026-07-01?Yes 77% 10 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes 85% 10 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-30?Yes 77% 10 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?No 90% 20 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No 92% 50 shares