Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.14
- Potential profit
- $29.14
- User PnL
- -$18
Polymarket Trader
Licarius
0x1ef15507d954d1d378a8bdc93903af16f6d88b77
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $25.03
- Realized PnL
- $189.19
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.87
- Potential profit
- $26.87
- User PnL
- -$18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.27
- Potential profit
- $20.27
- User PnL
- -$15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.91
- Potential profit
- $15.91
- User PnL
- -$14
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.42
- Potential profit
- $13.42
- User PnL
- -$12.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.27
- Potential profit
- $13.27
- User PnL
- -$13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.82
- Potential profit
- $12.82
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.79
- Potential profit
- $12.79
- User PnL
- -$11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$2.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$2.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$2.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$2.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$2.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.99
- Potential profit
- $9.99
- User PnL
- -$2.9
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $2.19
- Potential payout
- $9.72
- Potential profit
- $7.53
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$4.81
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $8.22
- Potential payout
- $8.24
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $7.47
- Potential payout
- $7.61
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.58
- Potential profit
- $7.58
- User PnL
- -$7
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $7.32
- Potential profit
- $7.3
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$6.98
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $7.12
- Potential payout
- $7.22
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.06
- Potential profit
- $7.06
- User PnL
- -$6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.71
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.51
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.79
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 30?No 72% 9.72 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 30?No 95.6% 7.32 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on June 30?No 96.9% 7.22 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 30?No 92% 7.61 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 30?No 85% 8.24 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 29?No 83% 8.43 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 29?No 79% 0.01 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C or below on June 29?No 96% 7.29 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 29?No 96% 7.29 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 28?No 92.4% 7.58 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 28?No 84% 8.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 28?No 95.7% 7.31 shares