No position
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $514.59
- Potential payout
- $519
- Potential profit
- $4.41
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Polymarket Trader
0x1Ef7C6a341BE6B1e327EAd694c562618A2bdb29B-1772160345749
0x1ef7c6a341be6b1e327ead694c562618a2bdb29b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $522.39
- Realized PnL
- $74.96
- Win rate
- 59.1%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
o1 FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.99
- Potential profit
- $11.99
- User PnL
- -$11.39
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $7.8
- Potential payout
- $7.8
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.86
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C or higher on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.86
- Potential profit
- $6.86
- User PnL
- -$6.75
Yes position
Will "Tesla" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 8?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $6
- User PnL
- -$3.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Alexander Bublik position
BNP Paribas Open: Alexander Bublik vs Vit Kopriva
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.5
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina position
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Damir Dzumhur
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.75
No position
Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 29, 2026?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
Miomir Kecmanovic position
Mexican Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Terence Atmane
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will the announcers say "Butterfly" during Holloway vs. Oliveira 2?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C or below on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Trump post "Boeing" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.55
No position
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.61
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.61
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 99.1% 11 shares
- Will "Tesla" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 8?Yes 55% 6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 10?No 89% 7.8 shares
- o1 FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 95% 11.99 shares
- Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 99.1% 23 shares
- Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 29, 2026?No 93% 6.8 shares
- Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Damir DzumhurAlejandro Davidovich Fokina 55% 55 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?No 88% 8 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?No 76% 8 shares
- Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 99.2% 34 shares
- Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No 99.7% 5.6 shares
- Will Trump post "Boeing" on Truth Social this week?No 99.8% 5.5 shares