Polymarket Trader

0xkinny

@KinnyYue

0x1f0134411be4df9d5003ca286f3dd9fea262548c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $654.01
Realized PnL: $4.78K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.2%
Current value: $89.45
Potential payout: $881.23
Potential profit: $791.79
Multiplier: 9.85x
User PnL: $14.32

Yes position

Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $13.24
Potential payout: $588.24
Potential profit: $575
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $3.24

Yes position

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $3.47
Potential payout: $533.33
Potential profit: $529.87
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$76.53

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 8.4%
Current value: $44.14
Potential payout: $528.62
Potential profit: $484.48
Multiplier: 11.98x
User PnL: $24.14

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.1%
Current value: $53.79
Potential payout: $486.75
Potential profit: $432.96
Multiplier: 9.05x
User PnL: $11.57

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $75.49
Potential payout: $409.17
Potential profit: $333.68
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $15.49

Yes position

Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $4.13
Potential payout: $343.89
Potential profit: $339.77
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$216.57

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.3%
Current value: $39.32
Potential payout: $296.76
Potential profit: $257.44
Multiplier: 7.55x
User PnL: -$9.88

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.6%
Current value: $43.43
Potential payout: $279.28
Potential profit: $235.85
Multiplier: 6.43x
User PnL: -$6.84

Yes position

Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $44.91
Potential payout: $272.2
Potential profit: $227.29
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$55.09

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 24.8%
Current value: $66.89
Potential payout: $270.27
Potential profit: $203.38
Multiplier: 4.04x
User PnL: -$33.11

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $10.58
Potential payout: $235.2
Potential profit: $224.62
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$14.42

Yes position

Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $5.29
Potential payout: $176.47
Potential profit: $171.18
Multiplier: 33.33x
User PnL: -$0.71

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $14.93
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $127.93
Multiplier: 9.57x
User PnL: -$5.07

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $3.36
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $139.5
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $1.36

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $23.33
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $110
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $3.33

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $4.55
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $125.45
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$21.45

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $5.56
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $119.44
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: $0.56

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $37.5
Potential payout: $115.38
Potential profit: $77.88
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$22.5

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $16.32
Potential payout: $105.26
Potential profit: $88.95
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$3.68

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $7.14
Potential payout: $95.24
Potential profit: $88.1
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$12.86

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $5.23
Potential payout: $92.59
Potential profit: $87.36
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $4.33
Potential payout: $86.52
Potential profit: $82.2
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$12.65

No position

Will Trump say "Wonderful" this week?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $37.64
Potential payout: $85.54
Potential profit: $47.91
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: $12.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2K

No position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $532.99

Yes position

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $292.34

No position

Will Trump say "UFC" this week?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $239.71

Yes position

Will Trump say "Pardon" or "Pardoned" 7+ times at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.22

No position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.38

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.44

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.29

Yes position

Will Detroit record the first snowfall?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.62

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.99

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.01

Nepal position

T20 Asian Games, Women, Qualifier: Indonesia vs Nepal

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.43

Yes position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.92

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.29

Yes position

Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.61

Yes position

Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.16

Lancashire position

T20 Blast: Lancashire vs Nottinghamshire

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.87

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.09

Knicks position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.14

No position

Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.97

Brose Bamberg position

Ratiopharm Ulm vs. Brose Bamberg

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.96

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.86

Yes position

Will AMC Entertainment Holdings (AMC) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.54

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 13?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.44

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Austria vs. Jordan: Both Teams to Score

No 56% 62.5 shares
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?

No 62% 10 shares
Will Trump say "UFC" this week?

No 0.8% 15.12 shares
Will Trump say "Knicks" this week?

Yes 23% 7.26 shares
Will Trump say "Jesus" this week?

Yes 40% 7.5 shares
Will Trump say "Affordability" this week?

No 1.7% 50.41 shares
Will Trump say "UFC" this week?

No 7.9% 34.58 shares
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?

No 30% 6.05 shares
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?

No 28% 15 shares
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?

No 27% 21.38 shares
Will Trump say "Wonderful" this week?

No 30% 83.32 shares
Will Trump say "UFC" this week?

No 2.2% 45.69 shares