Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Polymarket Trader
josh6seth
0x1f0c62bccb56f4d1b59dfda64542d1b4a16dca55
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $64.67
- Win rate
- 45.8%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $43.96
Yes position
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.53
No position
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $4.89
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.58x
- User PnL
- $2.17
Yes position
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- $2.04
No position
Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31
No position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 1.1% 2,133 shares
- Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 2.2% 907 shares
- Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 98.9% 970 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 97.2% 1,086 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 97.2% 1,086 shares
- Will Trump visit China by April 30?No 98.3% 982 shares
- Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?No 97.7% 550.11 shares
- Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?No 98.7% 987 shares
- Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 98.9% 1,084 shares
- Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 97.7% 997 shares
- Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 98.9% 767 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 9.1% 1,037 shares