No position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.9%
- Current value
- $13.2
- Potential payout
- $17.39
- Potential profit
- $4.18
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $1.48
Polymarket Trader
0x1F1B3eD784B41407ca6dfb63386169c6a74C75eD-1772313337894
0x1f1b3ed784b41407ca6dfb63386169c6a74c75ed
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.2
- Realized PnL
- $4.22
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Yes position
Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
Will Trump say "Oil" during Kentucky visit?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 2?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 67.4% 17.39 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 92% 11.9 shares
- Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?Yes 92% 10.87 shares
- France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?No 99.8% 4.49 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No 99.9% 5 shares
- France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?No 88.9% 4.5 shares
- Will Trump say "Oil" during Kentucky visit?Yes 91% 4.4 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes 40% 10 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No 87% 5 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No 28% 10 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes 37% 10 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?Yes 99.2% 5 shares