No position
Iran leadership change by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $25.82
- Potential payout
- $26.8
- Potential profit
- $0.98
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Polymarket Trader
BradWenson
0x1f39bbcaa530846f679642e092432025d5ae5706
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $141.96
- Realized PnL
- $23.52
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $26.12
- Potential payout
- $26.53
- Potential profit
- $0.41
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Martin Zubimendi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $25.67
- Potential payout
- $25.97
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $24.48
- Potential payout
- $24.77
- Potential profit
- $0.28
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $23.3
- Potential payout
- $24.49
- Potential profit
- $1.19
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.7%
- Current value
- $16.56
- Potential payout
- $24.48
- Potential profit
- $7.92
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$7.31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.71
No position
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
No position
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-04?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Will Solana dip to $90 before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
Yes position
SpaceX 6th Starship launch reaches space?
Ends Nov 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
Yes position
Will Napoli place 2nd for the 2025-26 Serie A season?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Will Ipswich win on 2024-12-27?
Ends Dec 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Páfos FC win on 2025-12-10?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 2-8?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Tether Insolvent in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Solana all time high by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will BNB dip to $300 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $60,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Bitcoin above $99,000 on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No 95.6% 24.49 shares
- Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?No 99% 24.77 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?No 98.4% 26.53 shares
- Iran leadership change by July 31?No 96% 26.8 shares
- Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?No 97.5% 24.48 shares
- Will Martin Zubimendi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 98.7% 25.97 shares
- Will Napoli place 2nd for the 2025-26 Serie A season?Yes 96.8% 32.02 shares
- Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes 89% 33.71 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $2,800 May 11-17?No 99.6% 29.79 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?No 99% 27.25 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?No 95.5% 26.52 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No 96.2% 38.92 shares