No position
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $2.43K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $69.96
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $169.1
Polymarket Trader
m4rks
0x1f47ae68c3c8fd5d1291cbda1f34e062d2fdb083
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.78K
- Realized PnL
- $1.1K
- Win rate
- 73.9%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $2.04K
- Potential payout
- $2.38K
- Potential profit
- $345.29
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$130.97
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $2.32K
- Potential payout
- $2.33K
- Potential profit
- $12.82
- User PnL
- $150.29
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $626.18
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $401.26
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $382.68
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $362.78
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $299.21
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $265.49
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $253.96
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $236.6
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.44
No position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.8
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.01
No position
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.17
No position
Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.27
No position
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.17
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.57
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.73
No position
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $18.55
Yes position
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.12
No position
Will Trump say "Unbelievable" or "Fantastic" or "Incredible" 10+ times during Panthers visit?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$297.03
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$401.7
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$992.56
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$1.33K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 35.1% 2,376.91 shares
- Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?No 90.4% 2,498.52 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 91.2% 2,376.92 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 91% 2,381.32 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No 93% 2,330.11 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?No 81% 2,111.9 shares
- James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?No 93% 1,855.43 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 84% 2,267.33 shares
- James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?No 92% 1,855.43 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes 90% 1,904.44 shares
- Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?No 99.7% 1,606.26 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?No 73.4% 2,356.18 shares