Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $237.5
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.26K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$12.5
Polymarket Trader
0x1f49...d6f8
0x1f491ccb1a2376f39978550523be36160d7ad6f8
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $606.37
- Realized PnL
- $659.28
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $152.62
- Potential payout
- $824.99
- Potential profit
- $672.37
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$74.25
Yes position
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $216.25
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $33.75
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $98.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $487.99
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.64
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $44.75
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.25
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $27.89
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- $12.95
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- $0.72
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.86
Yes position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$35.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?Yes 19% 20 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 10% 2,500 shares
- Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?Yes 19.1% 155 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 75.1% 125 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 87% 125 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 62.4% 500 shares
- Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?Yes 34% 301.29 shares
- Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 13% 72 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 44.2% 589.28 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 42% 589.29 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 74% 41.88 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Yes 86% 210.94 shares