Polymarket Trader

Atsui

0x1f53ef1fa8df74963e5202c4229c29e7e50c1081

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.61K
Realized PnL: $5.47K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 38.1%
Current value: $2.15K
Potential payout: $5.65K
Potential profit: $3.5K
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $48.02

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.7%
Current value: $1.18K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $3.81K
Multiplier: 4.23x
User PnL: -$12.49

Bills position

Bills vs. Falcons

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $700
User PnL: -$462

No position

Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $639.29
Potential profit: $639.29
User PnL: -$441.11

Giants position

Giants vs. Saints

Ends Oct 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$184

No position

Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the AFC North?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$352

Lions position

Lions vs. Chiefs

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$157.5

Yes position

Will Travis hunter only play offense?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $327.33
Potential profit: $327.33
User PnL: -$33.86

Browns position

Browns vs. Steelers

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$90

No position

Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $211.2
Potential payout: $299.58
Potential profit: $88.38
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $67.41

Yes position

Will the Detroit Lions win the NFC North?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $210
Potential profit: $210
User PnL: -$86.1

Commanders position

Commanders vs. Falcons

Ends Oct 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$104

Titans position

Titans vs. Texans

Ends Oct 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$48

Dolphins position

Dolphins vs. Panthers

Ends Oct 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$104

Eagles position

Eagles vs. Giants

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$156

Chiefs position

Chiefs vs. Jaguars

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$97.5

Chargers position

Chargers vs. Giants

Ends Oct 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$109.5

Ravens position

Ravens vs. Chiefs

Ends Oct 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$58

Browns position

Browns vs. Jets

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$58

Saints position

Saints vs. Bills

Ends Oct 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$9

Panthers position

Panthers vs. Patriots

Ends Oct 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$32

Titans position

Titans vs. Raiders

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$31

No position

Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92.7%
Current value: $66.71
Potential payout: $72
Potential profit: $5.29
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $23.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Mavericks position

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: Game 5

Ends May 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $610.17

No position

Abstract token launch by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $512.29

Yes position

Will 1 QB get taken in the first 3 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft?

Ends Apr 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $358.16

No position

Will the $SAFE market cap be greater than $5b one week after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $325.57

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $313.06

No position

Will 2 QBs get taken in the first 3 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft?

Ends Apr 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $300.51

No position

TikTok sale announced before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $269.36

Yes position

Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $266.66

No position

FriendTech market cap more than $10b one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $264.33

No position

EigenLayer airdrop by April?

Ends Apr 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $249.49

Yes position

Will Kamala say "democracy" at debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $246.35

Titans position

Titans vs. Cardinals

Ends Oct 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $195

No position

Will Ethereum hit $15k in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180

49ers position

49ers vs. Rams

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.2

Yes position

Will Ashton Jeanty get drafted in the First Round?

Ends Apr 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.57

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Jaguars

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Cardinals

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153

No position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.37

No position

Will the Vikings win the NFC North?

Ends Jan 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.8

Bears position

Bears vs. Raiders

Ends Oct 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

No position

Will Solana dip to $80 in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.49

No position

Elon Musk bans Apple devices at his companies?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.13

Yes position

Will the Lions win the NFC North?

Ends Jan 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90

No position

Will the Falcons win the NFC South?

Ends Jan 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 37.2% 648.98 shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 37.2% 5,000 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 23.9% 4,995.52 shares
Magic vs. Pistons

Pistons 93% 100 shares
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?

Yes 97.8% 3,300 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?

No 99.8% 3,290 shares
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?

No 56.5% 300 shares
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

No 48% 299.58 shares
Ravens vs. Vikings

Ravens 66% 100 shares
Browns vs. Jets

Browns 58% 100 shares
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?

No 60.7% 72 shares
Titans vs. Colts

Colts 98% 340 shares