Polymarket Trader

mdavidm

0x1f5d681e9fc37e76e479ea2fae49efb9dc5a6458

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $15.84
Realized PnL: $3.62
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 1
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.77
Potential profit: $8.77
User PnL: -$1.75

No position

Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $7
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.85

No position

Will Trump's approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.49
Potential profit: $6.49
User PnL: -$4.48

No position

Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.25
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

Will Leavitt say "Merry Christmas" during the next White House press briefing?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.09
Potential profit: $6.09
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$3.75

No position

Will António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$4.3

Yes position

Will Powell say "Probability" during January press conference?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.62
Potential profit: $4.62
User PnL: -$1.68

No position

Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.59
Potential payout: $2.59
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.35

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump say "New Year" this week? (January 11)

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.62

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

No 80% 2 shares
Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

No 48% 2.59 shares
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

No 74% 1.82 shares
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

No 74% 2 shares
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

No 74% 2.43 shares
Will Powell say "Probability" during January press conference?

Yes 37% 3.68 shares
Will Powell say "Probability" during January press conference?

Yes 34% 0.94 shares
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?

Yes 75% 5 shares
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

No 91% 5 shares
Will António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

No 86% 5 shares
Will Leavitt say "Merry Christmas" during the next White House press briefing?

Yes 17% 6.09 shares
Will Trump's approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on January 9, 2026?

No 69% 6.49 shares