No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.2%
- Current value
- $4.1
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $45.9
- Multiplier
- 12.20x
- User PnL
- -$11.4
Polymarket Trader
a787
0x1f701dac4983c365a30d01861d32343832940f8b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $118.81
- Realized PnL
- $31.06
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $5.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $44.25
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$10.25
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $18.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $31.75
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $3.75
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $27.09
- Potential payout
- $42
- Potential profit
- $14.91
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $4.83
No position
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $31.85
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $3.15
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $9.2
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $10.8
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- -$1.6
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $11.93
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $3.07
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $6.75
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $3.25
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$1.05
No position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $3.9
- Potential payout
- $9.99
- Potential profit
- $6.09
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.39
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98
No position
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 53% 42 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?Yes 91% 22 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?No 32% 50 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?No 31% 50 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 78% 10 shares
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?No 29% 15.3 shares
- Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?No 85% 35 shares
- US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by July 31?No 53% 9.99 shares
- U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No 54% 20 shares
- Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?No 99.9% 10 shares
- Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?Yes 99.9% 110 shares
- Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?Yes 75% 90 shares