Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $650.01
- Potential profit
- $650.01
- User PnL
- -$39
Polymarket Trader
Leo-Messi
@parecrn
0x1f822103d8941d1106629c2b153a16bb56202d74
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0.53
- Realized PnL
- $14.12K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $419.98
- Potential profit
- $419.98
- User PnL
- -$54.6
Yes position
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $409.09
- Potential profit
- $409.09
- User PnL
- -$18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $275
- Potential profit
- $275
- User PnL
- -$11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $109.76
- Potential profit
- $109.76
- User PnL
- -$45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $88.24
- Potential profit
- $88.24
- User PnL
- -$45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.19
- Potential profit
- $74.19
- User PnL
- -$23
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.14
- Potential profit
- $57.14
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $0.53
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $1.47
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump say "Tax" 20 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on October 9?
Ends Oct 9, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83K
No position
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Yes position
Will Switzerland win?
Ends Jun 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $887.33
No position
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $813.95
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $744.77
Yes position
Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross more than $105m opening weekend?
Ends Sep 9, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $737.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $625.31
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $606.29
Wizards position
Wizards vs. Pistons
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $561.07
Yes position
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $542.62
No position
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $534.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $497.99
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $471.01
No position
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $469.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $444.5
No position
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $405.8
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $400.34
No position
Biden drops out in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $373.16
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 1?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $351.42
No position
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $339.71
No position
Over $20M committed to the Space public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $336.76
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $326.73
No position
Lighter FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $322.84
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $312.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Drake have a #1 hit in the US in June?No 57% 305.95 shares
- Will Drake have a #1 hit in the US in June?No 45.4% 12.77 shares
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceParaguay 25% 1,000 shares
- Will Drake have a #1 hit in the US in June?No 48.6% 8 shares
- Will Drake have a #1 hit in the US in June?No 47.7% 229.8 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes 24.2% 61.98 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes 26.9% 40 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes 36% 100 shares
- Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?Yes 45% 216.66 shares
- Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?Yes 25% 192 shares
- Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?Yes 18% 216.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETUp 31% 74.19 shares