No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $149.08
- Potential payout
- $155.29
- Potential profit
- $6.21
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $17.08
Polymarket Trader
Humprey
@mhHIjqL2mCxrr0l
0x1f84b8edd0e3c9fba536d3483f369d90babf2ffa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $175.69
- Realized PnL
- $79.42
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.46
- Potential profit
- $52.46
- User PnL
- -$32
Yes position
Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $8.48
- Potential payout
- $28.26
- Potential profit
- $19.78
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- -$17.52
N
No position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $18.13
- Potential payout
- $18.26
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- User PnL
- $0.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.33
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.53
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.24
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.11
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.69
Yes position
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $4.57
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.62
Yes position
Polymarket surpasses Robinhood on Similar Web in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.77
Yes position
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
Yes position
Will the United States win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
No position
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 84°F or higher on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will Opinion launch a token on March 4?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 85% 155.29 shares
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30?No 98.6% 18.26 shares
- Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?Yes 92% 28.26 shares
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?No 48% 11.04 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 91% 156.04 shares
- Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No 85.6% 18.02 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No 96.7% 15.51 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 79% 29.11 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?No 98.4% 24.39 shares
- QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?No 0.9% 111.11 shares
- Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 90% 72.44 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 69% 17.39 shares