Polymarket Trader

ERA84

0x1f99e6a9a9c64ca5076917018cf2dbb06654ee76

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12.41
Realized PnL: $269.79
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $12.41
Potential payout: $564.24
Potential profit: $551.83
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: -$0.58

Yes position

Will White House post 120-139 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will White House post 80-99 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $366.67
Potential profit: $366.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.4
Potential profit: $178.4
User PnL: -$1.34

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $176.47
Potential profit: $176.47
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will White House post 100-119 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125.19
Potential profit: $125.19
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.26
Potential profit: $115.26
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will White House post 100-119 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.22
Potential profit: $113.22
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ted Cruz post 0-19 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.27
Potential profit: $103.27
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.09
Potential profit: $98.09
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.99
Potential profit: $74.99
User PnL: -$5.54

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy post 140-159 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.74
Potential profit: $74.74
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.18
Potential profit: $63.18
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.46
Potential profit: $62.46
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will White House post 120-139 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.81
Potential profit: $59.81
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will White House post 100-119 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.61
Potential profit: $53.61
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53
Potential profit: $53
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will White House post 80-99 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.68
Potential profit: $51.68
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.03
Potential profit: $50.03
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.48

Yes position

Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.98

Yes position

Will White House post 140-159 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.48

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.22

Yes position

Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.38

Yes position

Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.44

Yes position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.09

Yes position

Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.56

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.21

Yes position

Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.13

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.22

Yes position

Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.18

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17

Yes position

Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.82

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 2.3% 43.48 shares
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 2.3% 43.48 shares
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 2.3% 43.35 shares
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 2.4% 42.53 shares
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 2.3% 43.21 shares
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 2.3% 43.48 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 36% 85.57 shares
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 2.3% 43.48 shares
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 2.3% 217.77 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 35.7% 79.83 shares
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 2.3% 43.48 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 34.8% 5.75 shares