Yes position
Will SPD, FDP, and Greens form the next German Government?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- User PnL
- -$4
Polymarket Trader
rt5
0x1f9a6bb5a404493ec31daca3819bc9845b4206be
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $125.7
- Realized PnL
- $1.98K
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $125.7
- Potential payout
- $866.92
- Potential profit
- $741.22
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$91.03
Yes position
Will CDU/CSU, FDP, and Greens for the next German Government?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $730.91
- Potential profit
- $730.91
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $496.93
- Potential profit
- $496.93
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?
Ends Jun 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.4
- Potential profit
- $71.4
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Meta buy TikTok?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $20.83
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.42
- Potential profit
- $11.42
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Yes position
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Republican position
Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $615.31
No position
FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $453.96
Yes position
Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $325.76
No position
Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $316.18
No position
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.15
No position
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.86
Yes position
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.55
Yes position
Biden drops out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.17
No position
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.7
Yes position
Will Spain win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)?
Ends Aug 9, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.45
No position
Will Israel withdraw from Philadelphi corridor by March 8?
Ends Mar 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73
No position
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2024?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Zelensky remains President of Ukraine through September?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.19
No position
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Mar 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.8
No position
Bitcoin above $65,000 on July 26?
Ends Jul 26, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.9
No position
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Biden endorse Kamala?
Ends Aug 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Trump blowout victory?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Yes position
2025 February hottest on record?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 25% 866.92 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?Yes 4% 496.93 shares
- Will another coalition form the next German Government?Yes 0.2% 428.04 shares
- Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?Yes 0.5% 334.42 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Yes 29% 11.41 shares
- Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before July?No 91% 123.13 shares
- Will another coalition form the next German Government?Yes 0.2% 428.04 shares
- Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?Yes 0.3% 334.41 shares
- Will another coalition form the next German Government?Yes 0.2% 856.08 shares
- Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?Yes 0.3% 668.83 shares
- Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?Yes 0.4% 445.88 shares
- Will another coalition form the next German Government?Yes 0.2% 570.72 shares