No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $46.57
- Potential payout
- $51.46
- Potential profit
- $4.89
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $12.09
Polymarket Trader
0x1f9E300c4700C64ec20BEe5221a70Fcd735186bd-1762847486776
0x1f9e300c4700c64ec20bee5221a70fcd735186bd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $189
- Realized PnL
- -$10.28
- Win rate
- 64.3%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $41.99
- Potential payout
- $47.99
- Potential profit
- $6
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $7.44
No position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $38.74
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $1.26
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $8.74
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.1%
- Current value
- $5.98
- Potential payout
- $33.11
- Potential profit
- $27.14
- Multiplier
- 5.54x
- User PnL
- $0.98
Yes position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $12.79
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $16.62
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$7.21
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $25
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.12
- Potential profit
- $17.12
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.15
- Potential profit
- $15.15
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $12.87
- Potential payout
- $14.71
- Potential profit
- $1.84
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $2.87
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $3.19
- Potential payout
- $8.62
- Potential profit
- $5.43
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$1.81
Yes position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.4%
- Current value
- $1.87
- Potential payout
- $5.01
- Potential profit
- $3.14
- Multiplier
- 2.68x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 12, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.09
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.31
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.14
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 11, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.86
Lakers position
Rockets vs. Lakers
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
Seahawks position
Seahawks vs. Patriots
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.53
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.58
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETUp 96% 1.04 shares
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 39.9% 5.01 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 15.1% 33.11 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?No 75% 40 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Yes 68% 29.41 shares
- Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No 84% 23.59 shares
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Yes 6.6% 15.15 shares
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?Yes 29.2% 17.12 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No 72% 47.99 shares
- Rockets vs. LakersLakers 80% 12.35 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 84% 12.56 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 38% 27.77 shares