No position
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $47.38
- Potential payout
- $305.65
- Potential profit
- $258.28
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$82.5
Polymarket Trader
chonkychick
0x1fa46a001f52a0aa40c526bdb1c2d95d7b53c52a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $180.96
- Realized PnL
- $291.91
- Win rate
- 71.4%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $133.58
- Potential payout
- $149.25
- Potential profit
- $15.67
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $33.58
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $143.88
- Potential profit
- $143.88
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214
No position
Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.98
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.84
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.23
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.23
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.39
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$215.98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No 67% 149.25 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?No 69.5% 143.88 shares
- Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?Yes 71% 204.23 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?No 63% 196.87 shares
- Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2026?No 42.5% 611.65 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No 1.2% 335.21 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 2.2% 167.31 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 10.8% 167.31 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No 65.6% 335.21 shares
- Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?No 97.7% 374.76 shares
- Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?No 66.7% 374.76 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?Yes 50.7% 122.1 shares