Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $18.38
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- $1.57
Polymarket Trader
Valiv
0x1fb20e77e4ed8fe7b610a85ca4d68e90071ca893
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.14K
- Realized PnL
- $1.73K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $851.33
- Potential payout
- $995.71
- Potential profit
- $144.38
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $2.55
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $765.24
- Potential payout
- $921.97
- Potential profit
- $156.73
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$4.13
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.2%
- Current value
- $105.66
- Potential payout
- $869.61
- Potential profit
- $763.95
- Multiplier
- 8.23x
- User PnL
- -$63.83
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $112.81
- Potential payout
- $580
- Potential profit
- $467.19
- Multiplier
- 5.14x
- User PnL
- -$37.87
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 13.8%
- Current value
- $79.72
- Potential payout
- $579.81
- Potential profit
- $500.08
- Multiplier
- 7.27x
- User PnL
- $12.83
Yes position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $5.96
- Potential payout
- $567.64
- Potential profit
- $561.68
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$8.04
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $15.58
- Potential payout
- $566.52
- Potential profit
- $550.94
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- $3.18
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $11.9
- Potential payout
- $556.24
- Potential profit
- $544.34
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$1.66
Yes position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $102.78
- Potential payout
- $555.55
- Potential profit
- $452.78
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $18.4
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $6.42
- Potential payout
- $513.51
- Potential profit
- $507.09
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$12.58
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $128.01
- Potential payout
- $483.07
- Potential profit
- $355.06
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$10.03
Yes position
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $8.43
- Potential payout
- $455.83
- Potential profit
- $447.39
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$2.57
Yes position
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $13.71
- Potential payout
- $397.27
- Potential profit
- $383.57
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$6.29
Yes position
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
Ends Sep 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $339.44
- Potential payout
- $379.26
- Potential profit
- $39.82
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$8.57
Yes position
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $3.47
- Potential payout
- $365.55
- Potential profit
- $362.07
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$2.53
No position
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $178.81
- Potential payout
- $268.89
- Potential profit
- $90.08
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$32.19
Yes position
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $60.2
- Potential payout
- $256.16
- Potential profit
- $195.96
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $8.05
Yes position
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $8.05
- Potential payout
- $247.81
- Potential profit
- $239.75
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$8.95
Yes position
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $7.2
- Potential payout
- $243.9
- Potential profit
- $236.71
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- -$2.8
No position
Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $148.36
- Potential payout
- $150.61
- Potential profit
- $2.26
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.36
Yes position
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $128.21
- Potential profit
- $126.86
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$3.65
Yes position
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $93.9
- Potential payout
- $104.92
- Potential profit
- $11.02
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
No position
Will Hannah Spencer win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $72.32
- Potential payout
- $77.47
- Potential profit
- $5.15
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $9.88
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $384.59
Yes position
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $296.75
No position
Starmer out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.49
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.89x
- User PnL
- $105.92
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.44
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.68
Yes position
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $67.16
Yes position
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Ends Jan 3, 2027- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $62.67
No position
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $60.53
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $55.2
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.62
Yes position
Will Luke Littler win the PDC World Darts Championship?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.42
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $36.8
No position
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.55
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.22
No position
Will Kevin Durant be traded to the Spurs?
Ends Oct 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.75
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.42
Yes position
Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.57
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.56
Knicks position
NBA Playoffs: Knicks vs. Pistons (To Advance)
Ends May 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.47
No position
Will Angela Rayner be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $25.12
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.8
Yes position
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Ends Jan 3, 2027- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $24.34
Yes position
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $21.31
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?No 97.6% 150.61 shares
- Will Geraldine Coggins win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Yes 1% 153.84 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo 82.7% 175.61 shares
- Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?No 83.9% 233.51 shares
- Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027?No 80.2% 154.56 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 12.3% 146.34 shares
- Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?No 98% 81.44 shares
- Will Angela Rayner be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?No 98% 267.78 shares
- Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027?No 76.1% 114.33 shares
- Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?No 77.6% 38.68 shares
- Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 22% 163.76 shares
- Will Hannah Spencer win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?No 99.1% 83.91 shares