No position
Trump kiss by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.62K
- Potential profit
- $4.62K
- User PnL
- -$14.64
Polymarket Trader
.heart
0x1fcc97d92bccec98ab57be7f286c94425d77701b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.35K
- Realized PnL
- $1.89K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 50
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Coast Guard event?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $317.38
- Potential payout
- $338.54
- Potential profit
- $21.16
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $136.79
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $127.97
- Potential payout
- $328.13
- Potential profit
- $200.16
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- -$30.75
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $89.74
- Potential payout
- $253.14
- Potential profit
- $163.4
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$12.28
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $130.42
- Potential payout
- $177.45
- Potential profit
- $47.02
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $48.48
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.2%
- Current value
- $53.05
- Potential payout
- $150.93
- Potential profit
- $97.88
- Multiplier
- 2.84x
- User PnL
- -$26.88
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $137.34
- Potential profit
- $137.34
- User PnL
- -$13.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130.85
- Potential profit
- $130.85
- User PnL
- -$6.5
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.1%
- Current value
- $39.83
- Potential payout
- $107.5
- Potential profit
- $67.67
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- $8.59
No position
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $63.51
- Potential payout
- $102.44
- Potential profit
- $38.93
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $33.58
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $95.44
- Potential profit
- $95.39
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$29.09
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $92.95
- Potential profit
- $92.95
- User PnL
- -$34.86
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $39.21
- Potential payout
- $92.26
- Potential profit
- $53.05
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $14.36
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $55.79
- Potential payout
- $89.98
- Potential profit
- $34.19
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $25.8
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $88.78
- Potential profit
- $88.78
- User PnL
- -$26.04
No position
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $73.13
- Potential payout
- $81.25
- Potential profit
- $8.13
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $53.13
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $3.33
- Potential payout
- $79.28
- Potential profit
- $75.95
- Multiplier
- 23.81x
- User PnL
- -$26
Up position
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75.39
- Potential profit
- $75.39
- User PnL
- -$24.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $75
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $71.22
- Potential profit
- $71.18
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$20.3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $60.68
- Potential payout
- $70.15
- Potential profit
- $9.47
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $8.42
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $11.25
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $51.25
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$3.75
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.38
- Potential profit
- $62.38
- User PnL
- -$9.98
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.9%
- Current value
- $4.59
- Potential payout
- $58.52
- Potential profit
- $53.93
- Multiplier
- 12.74x
- User PnL
- -$9.07
N
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $46.1
- Potential payout
- $55.54
- Potential profit
- $9.44
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $6.41
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.7%
- Current value
- $5.92
- Potential payout
- $50.83
- Potential profit
- $44.91
- Multiplier
- 8.58x
- User PnL
- -$9.87
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $128 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$10
Movistar KOI position
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.62
- Potential payout
- $49.8
- Potential profit
- $49.18
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$13.94
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.7%
- Current value
- $41.92
- Potential payout
- $48.35
- Potential profit
- $6.43
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $19.67
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $32.84
- Potential payout
- $46.91
- Potential profit
- $14.07
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- $2.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.61
- Potential profit
- $45.61
- User PnL
- -$13.41
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.41
- Potential payout
- $45.07
- Potential profit
- $44.66
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$10.5
Yes position
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $27.22
- Potential payout
- $44.98
- Potential profit
- $17.77
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$2.66
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.8%
- Current value
- $9.32
- Potential payout
- $44.89
- Potential profit
- $35.58
- Multiplier
- 4.82x
- User PnL
- -$3.77
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $44.75
- Potential profit
- $44.73
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$12.72
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $43.48
- User PnL
- -$16.24
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.25
- Potential profit
- $41.25
- User PnL
- -$17.51
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.8%
- Current value
- $4.02
- Potential payout
- $41.23
- Potential profit
- $37.21
- Multiplier
- 10.26x
- User PnL
- -$6.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.93
- Potential profit
- $40.93
- User PnL
- -$14.99
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $40.49
- Potential profit
- $40.47
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$16.47
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $6
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $34
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $39.62
- Potential payout
- $39.92
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- User PnL
- $8.38
Yes position
Will USD be between 1.5M and 1.6M Iranian rials on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.6%
- Current value
- $12.22
- Potential payout
- $38.74
- Potential profit
- $26.52
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$2.83
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $38.26
- Potential payout
- $38.43
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- User PnL
- $23.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.38
- Potential profit
- $37.38
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $20.01
- Potential payout
- $36.72
- Potential profit
- $16.71
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$5.74
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 47-48°F on November 20?
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.9
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.14
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.61
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.93
No position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.39
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.16
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.76
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.55
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.66
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.35
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.32
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.53
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $45.89
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.78
No position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.96
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C or higher on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.82
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.03
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.88
No position
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.88
Yes position
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.58
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.95
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.71
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.66
No position
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Down position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.48
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.67
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.75
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.66
Yes position
James Comey arrested by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.5
No position
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.32
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
Yes position
Will Floriana Natale win the 2026 San Giovanni Rotondo mayoral election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.88
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $26.77
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.4
Yes position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,600 Week of May 11 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.71
No position
Will Nicoletta Romano win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.45
N
No position
Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.27
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.04
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.86
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.21
No position
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.87
Yes position
Will White House post 200+ posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.74
No position
Will Rossella Fini win the 2026 San Giovanni Rotondo mayoral election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.49
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $22.41
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.41
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 33.4% 44.88 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 33.7% 14.82 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on June 19?Yes 25.8% 5.04 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on June 19?Yes 26% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 19?Yes 75% 20 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 54% 10 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 54% 18.5 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 71% 21.11 shares
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of June 15 2026?No 75% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 19?Yes 24% 6.85 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 19?Yes 34% 8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 19?Yes 36% 20 shares