Polymarket Trader

0x1FE4396E97840a2De5213EAF24000f0940a813C7-1759952518615

0x1fe4396e97840a2de5213eaf24000f0940a813c7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $17.92
Realized PnL: $74.46
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 16?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.1
Potential profit: $64.1
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

JD Vance out as VP by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $3.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $46.75
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Ukraine hits Moscow by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.69
Potential profit: $32.69
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Another Russian incursion in Polish airspace by October 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.08
Potential profit: $23.08
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $22.73
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $18.52
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $1.96
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $15.89
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$3.04

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $4.45
Potential payout: $15.63
Potential profit: $11.17
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $2.06
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $9.71
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $1.42
Potential payout: $9.8
Potential profit: $8.38
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$3.58

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,020 Week of July 6 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $4.09
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $1.79
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $3.09

Yes position

Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by December 31?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.78
Potential profit: $5.78
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $0.68
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $3.86
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$0.32

Down position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.82
Potential profit: $1.82
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of March 2 above $141?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.81

Yes position

Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.42

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.52

Yes position

Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.53

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.16

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.97

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,020 Week of July 6 2026?

No 17% 5.88 shares
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 6?

Down 55% 1.82 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?

Yes 22% 4.55 shares
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Yes 17% 11.76 shares
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

Yes 2.6% 38.46 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Yes 38% 13.16 shares
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?

Yes 10% 50 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Yes 0.1% 26.31 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Yes 5% 100 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Yes 19% 26.32 shares
Netanyahu out by June 30?

Yes 5% 100 shares
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Yes 7.8% 64.1 shares