No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Current value
- $1.95K
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $149.89
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $163.01
Polymarket Trader
spicy3
0x1fe8885f82c4e395c8ba6dc1072113384f826e25
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.15K
- Realized PnL
- $4.06K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $789
- Potential profit
- $789
- User PnL
- -$748.76
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $475.08
- Potential payout
- $549.22
- Potential profit
- $74.14
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$2.75
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $378.13
- Potential payout
- $417.82
- Potential profit
- $39.69
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $30.03
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $345.51
- Potential payout
- $352.74
- Potential profit
- $7.23
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $22.59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Thunder position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54K
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $504.09
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $299.44
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $263.03
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.22
Thunder position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.1
Nuggets position
Warriors vs. Nuggets
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.69
No position
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.99
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $89.25
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.9
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $60.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.33
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.65
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.36
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.43
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.81
Connecticut Huskies position
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-1.5)
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.84
No position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.19
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.65
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.41
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.77
Spurs position
Spread: Spurs (-17.5)
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.61
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 18?No 72% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 18?No 74% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 18?No 74% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 18?No 74% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 18?No 74% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 18?No 74% 7.78 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 18?No 84% 18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 18?No 84% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 18?No 94% 8.51 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 18?No 95% 40.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 18?No 95% 156.15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 18?No 95% 57.01 shares