Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $46.12
- Potential payout
- $846.18
- Potential profit
- $800.06
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- $46.12
Polymarket Trader
moraki
0x1fe996347c4b545f721f4d96d71e1dfe71f4972f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $90.5
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $16.79
- Potential payout
- $121.21
- Potential profit
- $104.42
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- $16.79
Yes position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $1.67
- Potential payout
- $63.03
- Potential profit
- $61.36
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $1.67
Y
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $18.06
- Potential payout
- $30.61
- Potential profit
- $12.55
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $18.06
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 38%
- Current value
- $7.53
- Potential payout
- $19.81
- Potential profit
- $12.28
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- $7.53
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.95
- Potential profit
- $16.95
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $0.34
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $14.66
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $0.34
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Yes 2% 20.97 shares
- Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes 23% 15 shares
- Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes 23.8% 63.03 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.5% 121.21 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.9% 846.18 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes 80% 19.81 shares
- Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?No 54% 18.52 shares
- Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Yes 70.8% 20.97 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 49% 30.61 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14No 59% 16.95 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 56% 35.71 shares
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?Yes 13.3% 75.19 shares