S02

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.8
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 75°F or below on June 29?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.74
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $80.02
Potential profit: $79.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $69.9
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $54.99
Potential profit: $54.91
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50.01
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50.01
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.75
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.85
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 108°F or higher on June 29?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.93
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.85
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.68
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on June 29?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.88
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C or below on June 29?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.9
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 76°F or higher on June 29?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.73
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.35
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 108-109°F on June 29?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.88
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C or below on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.65
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.63
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.55
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.7
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: $0.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on December 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 28?

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 25?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on December 27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 28?

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on December 27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.95

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on December 23?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.35

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on December 22?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.2

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on December 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.8

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.05

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 25?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on December 25?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.8

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on December 24?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.05

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 24?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.85

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 25?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on December 20?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.91

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on December 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on December 24?