No position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $1.07K
- Potential payout
- $1.23K
- Potential profit
- $166.62
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $137.01
Polymarket Trader
BTCOG
0x1fea4066d9d8b199f806a28eab1803159d0f5685
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.62K
- Realized PnL
- $7.24K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $172.86
- Potential payout
- $181
- Potential profit
- $8.15
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $12.02
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $125.63
- Potential payout
- $135.82
- Potential profit
- $10.19
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $13.54
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $108.08
- Potential payout
- $108.13
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $18.33
Yes position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.6%
- Current value
- $49.55
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $50.45
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $53.95
- Potential payout
- $54
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $22.85
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $44.87
- Potential payout
- $47.99
- Potential profit
- $3.12
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $6.96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C or higher on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $773.44
Down position
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $718.62
Up position
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $671.62
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $430.47
Up position
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $404.56
Down position
Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $335.34
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $285.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $249
Up position
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $243.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C or higher on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.59
Down position
Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $228.05
Up position
EWY (EWY) Up or Down on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $179.87
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $179.09
No position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C or higher on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.56
Down position
Gold (GC) Up or Down on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.65
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.92
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.38
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.64
Down position
Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.4
No position
Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.29
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.19
Down position
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.94
Up position
Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.57
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Hong Kong have less than 180mm of precipitation in May?No 99.9% 50 shares
- Will Hong Kong have between 190-200mm of precipitation in May?No 99.9% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C or below on May 19?No 99.1% 3,300 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on May 2?No 99% 18.18 shares
- Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $132 Week of April 27 2026?No 72% 65 shares
- Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on April 27?Up 19% 6.67 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?No 99.4% 29.77 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?No 89% 156 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?No 88% 25 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No 79% 47.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on April 22?No 99% 0.02 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 61% 197.38 shares