Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $10K
- Potential payout
- $51.29K
- Potential profit
- $41.29K
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$19.76K
Polymarket Trader
kickstandhater
0x200544427dfc822652cb55ca5ca9f99476a9e414
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.69K
- Realized PnL
- $213.19K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.11K
- Potential profit
- $15.11K
- User PnL
- -$9.79K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$8.47K
No position
Plasma >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.84K
- Potential profit
- $7.84K
- User PnL
- -$3K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$3.96K
No position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $3.69K
- Potential payout
- $4.14K
- Potential profit
- $455.93
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $326.81
Yes position
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.53K
- Potential profit
- $1.53K
- User PnL
- -$336.24
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy hold 650k+ BTC by August 31?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $967.75
- Potential profit
- $967.75
- User PnL
- -$154.84
Y
Yes position
Will Natus Vincere win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?
Ends Aug 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $958.41
- Potential profit
- $958.41
- User PnL
- -$67.18
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$160
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $230.01
- Potential profit
- $230.01
- User PnL
- -$75.85
Natus Vincere position
IEM Cologne: Spirit vs. Natus Vincere
Ends Aug 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $196.91
- Potential profit
- $196.91
- User PnL
- -$57.1
No position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.32K
No position
[Single Market] Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Aug 9, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.26K
Yes position
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.96K
No position
EigenLayer airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.65K
Yes position
Mexican Presidential Election: Will Claudia Sheinbaum win?
Ends May 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.65K
Yes position
zkSync airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jun 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.52K
Simion position
Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.32K
Yes position
Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary 10-12.5%
Ends Jan 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.13K
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.96K
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.87K
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.34K
Yes position
Will JUP be between $0.40 and $0.70 one day after airdrop?
Ends Jan 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.55K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.44K
Yes position
Will the median gas price per blob be <0.0001 ETH one month after EIP-4844?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.25K
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.99K
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75K
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.61K
Yes position
$ARB above $1 one week after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.43K
No position
JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.42K
Yes position
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.21K
Yes position
Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12K
Yes position
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.95K
No position
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.78K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?No 50% 50 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.6% 82,500 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.2% 44,044.14 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?No 81% 2,784 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 21% 2,000 shares
- Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes 24% 526 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?No 99% 22,947.34 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?No 98.9% 3,981.32 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No 81% 1,110.77 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No 75% 1,100 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?No 88% 2,337.58 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 93% 4,000 shares