Polymarket Trader

rodolfoliv

0x2014eb882e1454c8b1841b226da3ced1001d54ec

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $262.76
Realized PnL: $476.42
Win rate: 42.1%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $100K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.5K
Potential profit: $6.5K
User PnL: -$58.5

Yes position

Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.28K
Potential profit: $5.28K
User PnL: -$110.24

Yes position

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $81.51
Potential payout: $3.81K
Potential profit: $3.73K
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$28.13

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $102.7
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $1.48K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$180.7

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $38.5
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $961.49
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$50.5

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $40.05
Potential payout: $890
Potential profit: $849.95
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$180.85

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $690
Potential profit: $690
User PnL: -$12.41

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $539.98
Potential profit: $539.98
User PnL: -$103.17

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will Will Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$3.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $452.81

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.8

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189.35

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Multiplier: 32.26x
User PnL: $114.79

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.9

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $59.98

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 15?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.6

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 37.6%
Multiplier: 2.66x
User PnL: -$2.53

Yes position

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$6.06

Yes position

Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$25.9

Yes position

Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$41.78

Spurs position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$42.85

Yes position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$55

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$81.87

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$373.81

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 5% 50 shares
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 2.3% 9,996.9 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 13% 800 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 63% 160 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 0.7% 1,140 shares
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 37.9% 253.15 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 23% 780 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 1.8% 690 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.1% 11,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.1% 50,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.1% 30,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.1% 9,000 shares