Polymarket Trader

0x2015...9678

0x2015d6afce0b5c15ca0410236ce097c183739678

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $130.31
Realized PnL: $440.75
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $35.31
Potential payout: $43.86
Potential profit: $8.55
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $10.31

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $22.95
Potential payout: $34.26
Potential profit: $11.31
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $10.97

No position

Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $3.59
Potential payout: $21.14
Potential profit: $17.55
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$6.87

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $10.29
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $8.94
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $11.28
Potential payout: $17.9
Potential profit: $6.62
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $1.38

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $13.7
Potential payout: $14.49
Potential profit: $0.8
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $3.7

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $12.07
Potential payout: $12.98
Potential profit: $0.91
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $2.08

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $7.44
Potential payout: $12.51
Potential profit: $5.07
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $0.94

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $11.73
Potential profit: $11.46
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$4.31

Yes position

Will Russia capture Borova by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $2.11
Potential payout: $10.05
Potential profit: $7.94
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the PA-12 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $5.08
Potential payout: $5.43
Potential profit: $0.35
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 89.8%
Current value: $4.49
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.51
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $1.89

No position

Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $1.73
Potential payout: $1.79
Potential profit: $0.06
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will "Kai Harada" win Best Sound Design of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174

No position

Will Trump say "Nuke" in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.52

Lazer Cats position

Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs TNC - Map 2 Winner

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.95

Canada/Finland position

World Championships: Switzerland/Norway vs. Canada/Finland

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.56

Stray Team position

Dota 2: Stray Team vs Miposhka Team - Game 1 Winner

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.86

BetBoom Team position

Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.66

NAVI Junior position

Valorant: REBORN vs NAVI Junior - Map 2 Winner

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.38

BALU position

Dota 2: unknow vs BALU - Game 2 Winner

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.47

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.12

Stray Team position

Dota 2: Stray Team vs Miposhka Team - Game 2 Winner

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.55

Passion UA position

Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Sinners - Map 1 Winner

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.87

Barbie Boys position

Rainbow Six Siege: Barbie Boys vs 6Targets Esports (BO1) - Asia Pacific League Oceania - Stage 1 Group Stage

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.4

Anas Mazdrashki position

ITF Curtea de Arges: Anas Mazdrashki vs David Eichenseher

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.02

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.11

Zomblers position

Counter-Strike: Zomblers vs InControl (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship North American Playoffs

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

INFURITY Gaming position

Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs MAJIX ESPORTS - Map 1 Winner

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.47

Sinners position

Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.29

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 7.3%
Multiplier: 13.79x
User PnL: $5.78

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.5

No position

Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $5.27

Yes position

Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $5.04

NEW VISION position

Counter-Strike: Dripmen vs NEW VISION - Map 1 Winner

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.37

Yes position

Will "GOAT" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3

Up position

Solana Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Up 99% 5.52 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Up 80% 5.56 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Up 97% 5.53 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Up 86% 5.56 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Up 97% 5.54 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Up 87% 5.56 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

Up 97% 5.52 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

Up 79% 5.56 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Up 98% 5.52 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Up 80% 5.56 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Up 53% 5.52 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Up 79% 5.56 shares