No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
Rapha1998
0x201e8e5f7015fb0ff939e41c6b2ce4f124a3d516
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $193.32
- Realized PnL
- $1.83K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $370.62
- Potential profit
- $370.62
- User PnL
- -$139.74
Novak Djokovic position
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dino Prizmic vs Novak Djokovic
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $329.52
- Potential profit
- $329.52
- User PnL
- -$250
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.2
- Potential profit
- $299.2
- User PnL
- -$175
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $255.64
- Potential profit
- $255.64
- User PnL
- -$150
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $201.85
- Potential profit
- $201.85
- User PnL
- -$25
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Saudi Arabia?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $176.66
- Potential profit
- $176.66
- User PnL
- -$125
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $162.26
- Potential profit
- $162.26
- User PnL
- -$50
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $148.87
- Potential profit
- $148.87
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $147.06
- Potential profit
- $147.06
- User PnL
- -$25
N
No position
Will Bosnia & Herzegovina be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $97.17
- Potential payout
- $140.85
- Potential profit
- $43.68
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- -$2.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140.85
- Potential profit
- $140.85
- User PnL
- -$100
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $133.48
- Potential profit
- $133.48
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $133.33
- Potential profit
- $133.33
- User PnL
- -$100
N
No position
Will Scotland be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $96.15
- Potential payout
- $128.21
- Potential profit
- $32.05
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.85
Frances Tiafoe position
Hamburg European Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Frances Tiafoe
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $127.66
- Potential profit
- $127.66
- User PnL
- -$60
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $127.39
- Potential profit
- $127.39
- User PnL
- -$100
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $123.68
- Potential profit
- $123.68
- User PnL
- -$100
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120.14
- Potential profit
- $120.14
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $114.69
- Potential profit
- $114.69
- User PnL
- -$50
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$100
N
No position
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $109.89
- Potential profit
- $109.89
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.19
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.74
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.38
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.3
Knicks position
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.42
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.93
No position
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.71
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETUp 91.3% 54.76 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETUp 95.2% 52.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETUp 71% 70.42 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETDown 95% 52.63 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETDown 93% 53.76 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETUp 78% 64.1 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETUp 80% 62.5 shares
- Will South Korea be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No 94.4% 105.93 shares
- Will Scotland be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No 78% 128.21 shares
- Will Bosnia & Herzegovina be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No 71% 140.85 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETDown 81% 86.42 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETUp 79% 69.62 shares