N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$6
Polymarket Trader
0x204b867b2359ea87A279D7AC919C5907CE30C147-1777139853536
0x204b867b2359ea87a279d7ac919c5907ce30c147
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $19.25
- Realized PnL
- $18.46
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $3.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $46.25
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $15.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $34.5
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- $4.5
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.8
- Potential profit
- $7.8
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.69
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.64
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.96
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.29
Yes position
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.45
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Yes position
Will Chime Financial (CHYM) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Mayweather position
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Up position
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 8PM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.28
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.77
No position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.85
No position
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" this week? (April 27 - May 3)
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Yes 22% 50 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 10% 50 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 3,000 shares
- Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?Yes 65% 7.69 shares
- Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?Yes 64.1% 7.8 shares
- Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?Yes 39% 25.64 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Yes 42% 14.29 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?Yes 7.9% 91.95 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?Yes 67% 7.46 shares
- Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2Mayweather 62% 7.57 shares
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?Yes 0.6% 1,166.67 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?Yes 13.1% 91.95 shares