Polymarket Trader

WillieAyers1557

0x204d498a65d7d1249cc8792d2fbbfee1c61208cb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $189.28
Realized PnL: $2.75K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $181.44
Potential payout: $756
Potential profit: $574.56
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: -$113.4

Yes position

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $3.33
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $46.68
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$4.18

No position

Ramp IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $3.58
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $0.42
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.46

Yes position

SHEIN IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $0.87
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $2.13
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0.94
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Medline's market cap be between $45B and $55B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $663.14

Olympiacos B.C. position

Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $371.58

Nothing position

Nothing Ever Happens: March

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $333

Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks position

Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. Michigan State Spartans

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $124.95

Yes position

Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $112.48

Yes position

Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.73

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.88

Yes position

Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.4

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $91

No position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 25 be between 1,750,000 and 2,000,000?

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.92

No position

Will "The Housemaid" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.52

Yes position

Will the National Citizen Party finish with the third most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.88

Yes position

Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $67.6

No position

Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.63

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 20?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.64

Yes position

U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $53.33

Southern Jaguars position

Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Southern Jaguars

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

Yes position

Will Kanye release BULLY by March 20?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.12

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.48

Yes position

Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.33

No position

Will Antonio Villaraigosa advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.05

Yes position

Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 70.5%
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $28.4

Yes position

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $25.2

Yes position

Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.14

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

No 36% 390 shares
Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

No 36% 391 shares
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?

Yes 4% 11 shares
Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

No 38% 781 shares
Spread: Ceará SC (-2.5)

EC Juventude 50% 939 shares
Will Cristian Sanabria win the 2026 Sucre mayoral election?

No 42% 344 shares
Will Cristian Sanabria win the 2026 Sucre mayoral election?

No 64% 344 shares
Rippling IPO before 2027?

No 82% 253 shares
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 7?

No 87% 536 shares
Rippling IPO before 2027?

No 82% 253 shares
Bitcoin ETF Flows on February 26?

Negative 29.9% 370 shares
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Score

No 27% 246 shares