No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $309.89
- Potential payout
- $638.94
- Potential profit
- $329.05
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $118.2
Polymarket Trader
SM733
0x204e1d3f3d2aa2a85bbb5a080d63a559ebbf04ff
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $309.89
- Realized PnL
- $123.37
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $498.66
- Potential profit
- $498.66
- User PnL
- -$203.18
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $360.01
- Potential profit
- $360.01
- User PnL
- -$90
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.7% in January?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$5.2
Yes position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in January?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $78.93
- Potential profit
- $78.93
- User PnL
- -$9.71
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% in January?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
$MSTR added to Nasdaq 100?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $66.48
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.85
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.05
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" during December FOMC Press Conference?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.42
Yes position
Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?
Ends Dec 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.6
No position
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.1
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell say "cut" 7 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.61
No position
Will Jerome Powell say "growth" 10 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.23
Yes position
Will Javier Bertucci Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?
Ends Jul 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during December FOMC Press Conference?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell say "good afternoon" during December FOMC Press Conference?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
No position
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" 5 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43
Yes position
X banned in EU before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.24
True position
Fact Check: Was the Trump shooter "a Chinese man"?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
ESPN back on DirecTV before Falcons vs. Eagles?
Ends Sep 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.25
+placed+on+a+vibrant+green+arrow+that's+shooting+upwards%2C+symbolizing+the+rapid+growth+and+bullis.webp)
Yes position
Ethereum all time high in Q3 2024?
Ends Oct 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.47
Yes position
$BTC dips below $40k before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.93
Yes position
$BTC dips below $45k before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.94
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.1
No position
Dogecoin above $0.41 on December 6?
Ends Dec 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.1
Yes position
Solana above $245 on December 6?
Ends Dec 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.23
No position
Will Jerome Powell say "price" 10 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.5
No position
Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 50 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in January?Yes 13% 30.77 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?Yes 73% 13.88 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?No 24% 7.93 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?Yes 79.9% 248.66 shares
- Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes 2.3% 434.78 shares
- Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes 2.4% 475 shares
- Will Jerome Powell say "good afternoon" during December FOMC Press Conference?Yes 97.6% 84.41 shares
- Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during December FOMC Press Conference?No 82% 1.22 shares
- Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" 5 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?No 90% 1.11 shares
- Will Jerome Powell say "price" 10 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?No 24% 4.17 shares
- Will Jerome Powell say "cut" 7 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?Yes 59% 1.69 shares
- Will Jerome Powell say "growth" 10 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?No 60% 1.67 shares