Polymarket Trader

rebotsliaf

0x206191d01c411a5b346d11a2df2d463a356b8ec9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $130.29K
Realized PnL: $284.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $7.73K
Potential payout: $343.55K
Potential profit: $335.82K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $3.22K

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $39.4K
Potential payout: $306.64K
Potential profit: $267.24K
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: $8.71K

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $5.17K
Potential payout: $77.79K
Potential profit: $72.61K
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$173.54

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $55.24K
Potential payout: $55.26K
Potential profit: $27.63
User PnL: $50.31K

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.1%
Current value: $3.1K
Potential payout: $34.25K
Potential profit: $31.15K
Multiplier: 11.05x
User PnL: $433.89

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $3.4K
Potential payout: $24.89K
Potential profit: $21.49K
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: $1.47K

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $14K
Potential payout: $16K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $2.79K

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.3%
Current value: $1.32K
Potential payout: $16K
Potential profit: $14.68K
Multiplier: 12.12x
User PnL: $838.81

Yes position

Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.67K
Potential profit: $12.67K
User PnL: -$211.07

Yes position

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $31.66
Potential payout: $12.67K
Potential profit: $12.63K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$179.41

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $82.32
Potential payout: $12.67K
Potential profit: $12.58K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$128.75

Yes position

Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $6.33
Potential payout: $12.67K
Potential profit: $12.66K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$204.74

Yes position

Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $6.33
Potential payout: $12.67K
Potential profit: $12.66K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$204.74

Yes position

Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $6.33
Potential payout: $12.67K
Potential profit: $12.66K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$204.74

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $56.99
Potential payout: $12.67K
Potential profit: $12.61K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$154.08

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $208.97
Potential payout: $12.67K
Potential profit: $12.46K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$2.1

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $183.64
Potential payout: $12.67K
Potential profit: $12.48K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$27.43

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $6.33
Potential payout: $12.67K
Potential profit: $12.66K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$204.74

Yes position

Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $6.33
Potential payout: $12.67K
Potential profit: $12.66K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$204.74

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $31.66
Potential payout: $12.67K
Potential profit: $12.63K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$179.41

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $208.97
Potential payout: $12.67K
Potential profit: $12.46K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$2.1

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $82.32
Potential payout: $12.67K
Potential profit: $12.58K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$128.75

Yes position

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $6.33
Potential payout: $12.67K
Potential profit: $12.66K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$204.74

Yes position

Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $6.33
Potential payout: $12.67K
Potential profit: $12.66K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$204.74

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.7K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.46K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.54K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.94K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.77K

Timberwolves position

Timberwolves vs. Spurs

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.35K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.3K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.92K

Cavs position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.08K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.3K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.83K

Timberwolves position

Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.05K

No position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.58K

Thunder position

Spread: Thunder (-15.5)

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.34K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.22K

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.82K

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.75K

No position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.69K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.63K

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.26K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5K

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.34K

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.34K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $4.31K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.7% 22,222 shares
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals

No 93% 4,065.5 shares
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals

No 74% 1,000 shares
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals

No 73% 528.12 shares
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals

No 73% 1,535 shares
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals

No 74% 240 shares
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals

No 74% 421.99 shares
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals

No 73% 931.5 shares
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals

No 72% 966.81 shares
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals

No 45% 22,222 shares
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals

No 45% 4,444 shares
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals

No 45% 5,555 shares