Yes position
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $79.61
- Potential payout
- $2.07K
- Potential profit
- $1.99K
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$140.99
Polymarket Trader
GodOfApes
0x207b207050282787b3b342327ed2b7ff1656c5f0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $701.27
- Realized PnL
- $2.62K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $48.99
- Potential payout
- $1.51K
- Potential profit
- $1.46K
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$383.96
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $430
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $570
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$7
No position
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $105
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $895
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $27.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $172.7
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $10.37
- Potential payout
- $188.46
- Potential profit
- $178.09
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$31.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $381.6
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $294.61
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $290
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $258.78
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $238.21
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219.01
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.42
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $113.91
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $61.8
No position
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $59.1
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $46.52
No position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $44.6
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.1
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.61
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.18
Yes position
Starmer out by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.68
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.99
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 94% 2.96 shares
- Will Pakistan sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?Yes 98.9% 20 shares
- Will Pakistan sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?Yes 98.9% 20 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?No 15% 69.39 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?No 18% 348.73 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?No 34% 12.68 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 88.89 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Yes 0.8% 1,000 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?Yes 29% 5 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?Yes 45% 5 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?No 57% 5 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?No 60% 10 shares